May's resignation and shortage of products. What threatens Britain with long-term Brexit

live on the positive

The process of the UK's withdrawal from the EU, called Brexit, is turning into a growing uncertainty for the country and can seriously raise the credibility of the government of Teresa May, writes British media, including The Guardian and The Independent. The trust in the May cabinet in this matter is also lost by the British, according to a recent poll by YouGov, released on June 5. 62% of the interviewed citizens of the country believe that the government can not handle the negotiations on Brexit in a decent manner, while only 23% of respondents agree with the opposite opinion. In addition, the survey showed that Brexit's opponents in Britain grew to a record 47%, while the number of supporters of the country's exit from the EU, on the contrary, declined to a minimum after the 2016 referendum and was 40%. This situation is worsening the British government's position on the eve of two extremely important events for Brexit: on June 12, the lower house of the British Parliament should consider immediately the 15 significant remarks of the House of Lords to the government bill on Brexit, and June 28-29 will host a summit of the European Union, during which the official London must submit a clear alternative to solving a few controversial issues regarding the formalization of its exit from the EU. In the event of failure of the agreement with Brussels and the "automatic" exit of Britain from the EU, the country faces a temporary shortage of products, medicines and fuel, the Sunday Times writes with reference to the analytical papers prepared for the government. HB tells why the process of legalizing Brexit is delayed and what threatens the UK. Internal controversy in Britain The most important test for the ability to legalize Brexit is waiting for the government of Teresa May this week, June 12. On this day, the House of Commons has been given a fateful vote: parliamentarians will immediately consider 15 amendments to the government's draft law on Brexit, which was previously approved by the House of Lords. This document should formalize the abolition of EU legislation in the United Kingdom. The Independent calls the future House of Commons one of the most important in history and compares it with the "Norwegian debate" of 1940. Then an acute parliamentary debate over Britain's failed military operation in Norway and the war over Hitler as a whole led to the resignation of the government of Neville Chamberlain, which was replaced by Winston Churchill. British parliamentarians have already been warned that the June 12 vote may be delayed overnight - such a lengthy and debatable list of issues was put to the vote. This caused debate among British politicians and dissatisfaction with the opposition. On June 12, the authority of Teresa May and her government "will be put on the map", writes The Independent. "An attempt to immediately make 15 amendments in one session testifies to complete disrespect for the parliament," said, for example, Labor Liberal Democrat David Lemmy, a supporter of British membership in the EU. This law will have enormous consequences for the future of our country for many generations. " The House of Lords has been working on editing the Brexit Bill for the past weeks - after the House of Commons passed a bill in January 2018 in the third and final reading and passed it to the upper house. All 15 British pirate proposals are intended to mitigate the process of leaving the country with the EU, while Mae's government has previously insisted on a rigid version of Brexit. The main points of the controversy relate to the following issues: 1. The powers of the Parliament in the Brexit process. The House of Lords is proposing to give the parliament the right to decide on further events if the British government can not agree with Brussels on its terms of exit from the EU. "If parliamentarians do not reject the amendment, its supporters are hoping, it will increase the chances to put the government behind the negotiating table again, or even force it to a new referendum on Brexit," writes The Independent. The House of Lords insists on maintaining London's membership in the European Economic Area and the Customs Union after leaving the EU 2. UK membership in the EU's economic communities.In particular, the House of Lords insists on maintaining London membership in the European Economic Area (EEA) after leaving the EU. First of all, this means participation of the country in the single market of the European Union (like Norway, which is also not part of the EU) and maintaining the principle of free movement of labor. At the same time, the government's plan foresees a way out of the EEA along with a rejection of the single labor market, and that the ruling conservative party is supported by many of the Labor, recalls the Independent. At the same time, Labor, like the House of Lords proposal, intends to seek to preserve Britain's membership in the EU customs union. It allows goods to move freely throughout the European Union. At the same time, the May office opposes this amendment. The country's membership in the EU customs union does not allow it to negotiate special bilateral trade agreements with other states. While the British government hoped to conclude separate trade agreements with Brexit, first of all with the United States and China. 3. Date of withdrawal from the EU. One of the amendments introduced by the House of Lords involves the exclusion of the Brexit bill on the UK's deadline for the release of the UK. It is now scheduled for March 29, 2019, but in the case of a positive vote in the House of Commons, this date will be excluded from the document and then Brexit may be delayed for an indefinite period. British business has already demanded clarity from the government regarding the exit strategy of the EU. In turn, British business has already demanded greater clarity from the government regarding the strategy of leaving the country from the EU, writes The Guardian. At the meeting with the government in early June, executives from major companies, including Tesco, GlaxoSmithKline and BAE Systems, highlighted the need to prepare their own firms and stated that they needed additional information on new customs procedures, as it remained less than 10 months before the expected date of Brexit. Disagreements with the EU For many months, the UK Government fails to agree with Brussels the final version of the EU exit agreement (Brexit deal). The draft agreement, consisting of 168 articles, was approved in February 2018. Already then, the EU coordinator at the Brexit talks, Michel Barnier, stressed that it was necessary to hurry to finalize the agreement and agree on the issues. "On March 30, 2019, after 13 months, the United Kingdom will no longer be a member state of the European Union, that's what it wanted," Barnier said in February. "To this day we have to organize its orderly exit. to negotiate on the basis of the text, since there is not enough time. From now until the coming autumn we have to come to a final agreement on this orderly exit project. "

However, since then no significant progress has been made. In March 2018, Brussels and London succeeded in agreeing on a transition period after Brexit, which runs from March 29, 2019 to December 31, 2020, and aims to mitigate the consequences of the exit from the EU, both for Britain and for the European Union itself. It is anticipated that during this period, Great Britain will be able to enjoy all rights of the EU member state, remaining in the single market, but will not be able to participate in the decision-making process in the European Union. But already in May, British The Times reported that Prime Minister Theresa May intends to ask the EU for an additional transitional period within Brexit until 2023. In addition, the parties have still not been able to agree on a number of contentious issues regarding Britain's withdrawal from the EU, including the issue of the country's membership in the customs union. However, the most controversial issue is the issue of the British border with Ireland. Without a clear strategy for resolving it, Brussels will not sign an agreement with Britain, including Brexit's chief coordinator from EU Barnier. It remains unclear how London intends to regulate the movement of people and goods across the border with Ireland. This is the border between Ireland, which is a member of the EU, and Northern Ireland - part of the United Kingdom. It remains unclear how London intends to regulate the movement of people and goods across this border. Earlier, the European Commission proposed an option in which Northern Ireland could remain in the EU customs union after Brexit, but May rejected this offer. According to her, such an idea threatens the constitutional integrity of the kingdom, as between northern Ireland and the rest of Great Britain there will be a regulated and customs border. At the same time, Britain has not yet put forward alternative proposals, although it remains weeks before the crucial summit of EU leaders, which will be held June 28-29, and is expected to largely determine the fate of the deal with London on Brexit. In this regard, European politicians do not get tired of hurrying London. "We are worried about the lack of a clear approach, a clear position on the British, the clock is ticking," said the German EU minister, Michael Rot, in May at a meeting with his fellow diplomats in Brussels. In turn, London insists that it will publicize its vision of the outstanding issues on Brexit before the upcoming summit. "I am absolutely convinced that there will be a number of concrete proposals at the June EU Council meeting with the Prime Minister [Teresa May], and our European counterparts will react positively to them," said Sajid Javed, head of the Interior Ministry of the United Kingdom on 3 June. Judgment day: the risk of "spontaneous" Brexit If London can not sign a formal agreement with Brussels on the withdrawal from the EU, Britain will wait for the "spontaneous" Brexit option when most of the trade agreements with the EU will simply cease to operate. The British press has already christened this version of the "Judgment Day". In this case, the parties will move to the rules of the World Trade Organization and British companies will spend about 20 billion pounds sterling ($ 27 billion) annually on compliance with the customs regime, said John Thompson, Permanent Secretary of the Tax Service of the British Queen. In addition, the "spontaneous" exit from the EU threatens the UK with immediate problems with the supply of products, medicines and fuel. The British Sunday Times reported this on 3 June, citing a secret document on the possible consequences of the "automatic" Brexit, developed by government officials for David Davis, UK's Minister for the UK's exit from the European Union. This document describes in detail three scenarios of possible consequences - soft, medium and most serious, designated as "Armageddon". In Cornwall and Scotland supermarkets, food will end within a few days, and hospitals will run out of supplies for two weeks. "In the case of the second scenario - not even the worst - the Dover is waiting for a collapse on the first day [after Brexit]," the Sunday Times cites its source, which told about the document."In Cornwall and Scotland supermarkets, food will end within a few days, and hospitals will run out of supplies for two weeks." The government will have to use the UK charter or Royal Air Force to supply supplies to the UK's most distant regions. " By the end of the second week [after Brexit], we will also lack gasoline, "the source said. In response to this publication, the British government denied such risks and assured that the country was" full In the statement of the official representative of Teresa May, she said: she still believes that "the absence of a deal is better than a bad deal" and that the government "did a great job" to enable the UK to cope. with any version of Brexit and avoid scripts like voiced in the Sunday Times.

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